A couple of weeks ago, I became entagled in a discussion about privacy concerns. Discussion is perhaps a generous term. After several attempts to explain the issue, I had to conclude that I was an idiot, simply to close the conversation. Actually, I stated publically “clearly, I am an idiot.” Now, some of you may disagree, but I am somewhat confident that I am not an idiot. I have undoubtedly made some idiotic choices and decisions over the years, but an idiot, no. Probably. [I may return to the specifics in due course, so stay tuned.]
Yesterday morning, I woke to find that a certain individual in the UK has declared that he will be re-branding his political(?) party. I don’t care to name the clown, but his initials, rather fittingly, match those of the National Front. He seems to be given an inordinate amount of time on the BBC and in/on other media outlets for reasons which are beyond me. There’s nothing new in all of this, but the point that hit me like a speeding train right between the eyes, is that the primary reasoning for re-branding/re-naming the party was to make a stand against the lockdown restrictions in England/the UK. Forgive me if the details are a little vague, but I chose not to look too deeply into the whys and wherefores as I was feeling a little nauseous. A lot nauseous, in fact. You see, the fact that I have – for some time now – been increasingly sceptical about the whole response to the pandemic, seems to suggest to me that I have inadvertantly been aligning myself with this vile creature and his kind. Right now, the nausea has returned, ten-fold. Why? Because…
“Clearly, I am a covidiot.”
Covidiot. Isn’t that a horrible term? No doubt, someone is feeling pretty smug at having come up with that one back at the beginning of this crisis, but it has become a catch-all moniker for anyone daring to query or challenge the official line. In many cases, it is probably perfectly justifiable, but it has been applied so liberally of late, it too makes me nauseous.
I doubt it will make any difference whatsoever, but having been thinking about this for a day, I wanted to try to make some sense of those thoughts. When facing similar mental struggles in the past, this has sometimes meant sitting and writing, to try to figure out exactly what I feel. Rambling. Reasoning. Re-reading. Re-writing. I’ve been away from here for many weeks, so maybe today is the right time to dust off the old typewriter. Remember those?
I’ve been going back over the key things that have crossed my mind since the beginning of this year. 2020. Not a year of perfect vision, but a year (so far) of confusion, frustration, desperation and, to some extent, despair. What follows is a selection of comments and observations about the moments that I recall as being important in shaping the way I have analysed what is going on. I should state for the record that my memory is shite, so apologies in advance for any errors and omissions.
Back at the start of the year, it seemed we were about to be struck down in our millions. It’s probably fair to say that most people were just a little bit worried. I soon came to learn a few details about the so-called Spanish Flu. I’d heard of it, but had never thought to explore the details. It seemed clear that we should prepare for a global pandemic, and we were afraid. Here, the (Chinese) New Year school break was extended by a couple of weeks while the authorities figured out what to do.
To date, Taiwan has recorded 7 or 8 deaths attributable to Covid-19. By anyone’s standards, the way spread of the virus has been handled here has been nothing short of incredible. Life has continued pretty much as normal, except that people have stopped travelling abroad, while those returning or coming here on business have been quarantined. Taiwan is a small island; the people are used to paying attention to men with batons and whistles; masks have long been part of the national fashion psyche. It is very different to Europe, the UK and the USA. Honestly, my fear now is that this will never go away. There is not a cat in hell’s chance that there will be any kind of community immunity. We’ll have to wait for the vaccine.
The vaccine? Here’s the thing. My understanding is that a coronavirus is a common cold virus. We’ve never been able to create a vaccine for that. I think I read that we (in the UK) had a research institute dedicated to finding one, but it shut after 48 years of failure. This may or may not be true. How can I be sure? We don’t have a vaccine for quite a few deadly diseases. What is so special about Covid-19? Why are we so sure that we can fix it with a vaccine? I don’t understand the rationale.
I distinctly remember my dad showing me a photograph of a site in China (presumably in or near Wuhan) on which a temporary hospital was being built in 8 days. There were dozens of JCB-type vehicles working, preparing for the builders to take over. “Crikey! This really does look serious…!” is what I thought. Sure enough, we heard about multiple deaths in China over a period of weeks. The odd thing was that after what seemed like only a month or two, I then saw news that the aforementioned hospital was being dismantled, as a result of which I further distinctly remember thinking that things surely weren’t going to be as bad as first imagined. It was a moment of relief. Then came news of Italy. Fuck! They were dropping like flies. Apparently.
Lockdowns all over the place. Flatten the curve, they said. Made sense. Kind of. Nightingale hospitals built a great expense. Clapping for NHS staff. We can handle this! Well, you lot back in the UK seemed to be pulling together. Stiff upper lip, and all that.
Then I got wind of some data doing the rounds, suggesting that the deaths were following this trend called the Gompertz curve on graphs. I was curious. One thing led to another. I learnt about Sweden and what they had done, or not done. I found out about a few things which gave cause for concern. For one, the chap from Imperial College who came up with the model showing half a million deaths to be expected in the UK had a slightly iffy track record. Apparently. See Bird Flu, Swine Flu, SARS. I have no idea how I can be sure if this is true or not, but several sources have claimed that he has been consistently wrong with his predictions over several recent years. In spite of this, the UK government, and many others around the world, I believe, decided to build their strategies around the numbers he predicted. To the best of my knowledge, there has been no proper scrutiny and testing of the results from the model. I find this rather troubling. This leads me to another example.
A few weeks ago, I had a back-and-forth exchange with a chap on Twitter. This chap happened to be a columnist on The Times (or possibly The Sunday Times, I forget). Anyway, the exchange was very good natured. I was curious, so I remained polite. Without boring you with the full details, the main outcome of the conversation was this…
The columnist was having a go at another columnist who had dared to suggest that lockdowns were likely to do more harm than good (or someting along those lines). Columnist 1 was clearly not a fan of columnist 2. So far, no problem with that. When I asked him (for the sake of balance) to retweet to his own followers an article by columnist 2, he responded by saying that he wouldn’t because he was opposed to the website on which the article had been posted. Fair enough.
However, I subsequently discovered that both columnists had also written for another publication at one time. This is a respectable and worthy publication, as far as I am aware. In this publication, columnist 2 had made a claim that a prominent professor (Oxford or Cambridge, again I forget which) had been gagged by the BBC. At least, said professor had appeared on a BBC programme and had been instructed not to mention something she supported in relation to the merits of seeking the infamous ‘herd immunity’. By all accounts, she had nonetheless proceded to ignore the attempted muzzling. Anyway, my point is that I was surprised that columnist 1 had not taken it upon himself to investigate the veracity of this claim. Irrespective of his opinion of columnist 2, surely any reasonable person in his position might find it important to investigate why a prominent professor with expertise in this field would be being censored (at least that was the intent) by the national broadcaster. On similar lines, I have read countless reports of things being deleted/banned/censored on certain Internet outlets, even when they are (apparently) clearly attributable to bona fide experts. How can I know if this is true? I can’t.
Then I read about a prominent national TV presenter confirming that media outlets must comply strictly with Ofcom rules during a national crisis like this. Again, I have no way of knowing if any of this is true, but throughout the whole pandemic to date, in the mainstream media there has been a distinct lack of criticism on the subject. It’s no wonder people are still afraid. They only ever get to hear the bad stuff.
I have seen countless graphs and graphics showing that the number of deaths has declined, as expected if compared to almost any other virus of this nature. More testing has resulted in more cases. That is pretty obvious, but why test those who are not sick? We have never routinely tested for influenza or any other virus, as far as I know. The figures showing the risk of death by age-group seem to indicate that the virus is nowhere near as deadly as we were told. Why have we not seen mountains of bodies being buried around the world’s slums? Surely the virus would have ripped through such places with consumate ease? I don’t know. How could I find out? Who should I believe?
I have been drawn to a small group of experts (several of which are Oxford, Cambridge, Harvard professors), who have been analysing the data and suggesting that the various responses around the world have been misguided or disproportionate or irrational or irresponsible or illogical. At least, they seem to be taking an alternative view of the problem. I have not seen this as a political issue, as such. I have not considered their views as left-wing, right-wing or any other wing, for that matter, but it seems that several of the media… erm…, ‘personalities’ that are also coming out in favour of a more rational(?) approach (as promoted by these experts) are not the kind of people with which I would care to be associated, so I am confused about the direction this is going. Hence my sense of nausea on discovering what NF was up to. Then I saw the following Tweet, and it all made a little more sense:
“CAPITALISE on peoples fears and worries for their family and livelihoods in this difficult time by opportunistically forming a new political party.” [@MrLemonDrizzle, retweetd by @TwopTwips]
I cannot help but come back to what has been bothering me for so long. It’s all about proportionate responses. I mentioned 7 or 8 Covid deaths in Taiwan. We have that every single fucking day on the roads here. The vast majority are utterly pointless and entirely avoidable, if only drivers were taught and tested properly. What is the Taiwan government doing about it? Almost nothing. It is an ongoing epidemic. It is not peculiar to Taiwan, I am sure, but having been so brilliant at dealing with Covid-19, where is the will to rid these shores of the drividiots? I probably mentioned it in an earlier posting, but the day I took my son back to school after the 2-week holiday extension, there were two police officers at the school gate preventing anyone other than (masked) children entering the school. Fair enough, I thought… until I stood and watched for a few moments as several locals arrived on their scooters driving along the wrong side of the road, kids helmetless (but masked, obvs) after having just jumped the red light at the busy junction 50 metres away. Police response? Well, what do you think?
I guess, while I’m on the subject of proportionate responses, what about dealing with some of the other issues that have come into sharp focus this year? Yes, clap for the NHS, but how about paying the nurses a decent wage, while stopping MPs from enjoying subsidised food and booze in the House of Commons? If that’s true – how would I know? – it’s complete and utter bollocks. Where is the sense of justice and decency?
Oh, and where was the just and proportionate response to that clown who drove off to Barnard Castle to test his eyesight? Is it any wonder that Joe Public isn’t too bothered about sticking to the rules? Sure, s/he will be pilloried and labeled a covidiot, but s/he is likely just your average Brit, and always remember that the average person is pretty stupid. You can fill in the rest.
As for these ‘rules’, I wish to God someone would come up with sound evidence for their efficacy. You could go to the pub, but had to be out by 10pm? What the actual fuck? What about the different rules where food is being served? It is nonsensical? Or is it? How would I know?
Let me finish with this, a headline which just appeared on my laptop. “The elite have not had to overcome adversity and are therefor ill-equipped to cope in a crisis.” The members of the government in the UK, in a nutshell.
Good night.